Blank gameweeks took their first victims this past weekend, as the average FPL score was an abysmal 33 points. Week 27 also proved difficult from a captaincy perspective, with some of the safer picks failing to get on the scoresheet. Even Doc struggled with his picks. Kane (2 points) and Payet (3 points) failed to impress, and only a questionable… Continue reading Doc’s Captain Picks – Fixture Predictions for FPL Week 28

I hope my fellow FPL managers enjoyed their Premier League week off by obsessing over FA Cup and European competition results. It seems so long ago, but last gameweek Doc recommended Costa, Özil, and Agüero for the armband. Again two of three returned fantasy dividends, as Costa (9) did his part in dismantling Newcastle and Özil (8) recorded… Continue reading Doc’s Captain Picks – Fixture Predictions for FPL Week 27

Last week’s captain picks of Firmino (13 points) and Agüero (6) turned out quite well, although an in-form Heurelho Gomes denied Harry Kane (2) a spot on the scoresheet. Still, 2 for 3 isn’t bad, and that brings Doc up to 7 for 9 on captain picks so far. Below are the results of the shot predictions… Continue reading Doc’s Captain Picks – FPL Fixture Predictions for GW 26

Doc’s captain recommendations for Week 24’s midweek games turned out reasonably well. Agüero (5 points) and Rooney (10 points) impressed, but a Coloccini knee to the back spoiled Lukaku’s chances to get on the scoresheet (1 point).  The results of Gameweek 24’s shot predictions are below. The bars show shot prediction ranges, while the circles represent actual team shot totals. The… Continue reading Doc’s Captain Picks – FPL Fixture Predictions for GW25

Last gameweek we introduced how shot predictions can help an FPL manager decide who to captain in a given gameweek. Those recommendations turned out surprisingly well: Aguero (12), Ighalo (12), and Vardy (7) all made it onto the scoresheet for week 23. The model continues to churn out reasonable results. Looking below, we can see how well the… Continue reading Doc’s Captain Picks – FPL Fixture Predictions GW 24

Some of you may be familiar with the predicted shots model developed here. In this post I’d like to assess recent predictions, predict shots for this upcoming weekend (EPL Week 23, January 23-24), and make some FPL-relevant captaincy suggestions. First, let’s assess last week’s predictions. A recent feature of the predicted shots model is that predictions are now presented… Continue reading Doc’s Captain Picks: FPL Fixture Predictions GW23

We’re witnessing a data explosion in football right now, and the question everyone is asking is, “How can Big Data help my fantasy team?” Fear not, I’m here to share some modeling results that might help you set your lineup or decide on some last-minute transfers this gameweek. It shouldn’t come as a surprise, but in Togga the attacking players… Continue reading Doc’s Predictions: Week 21